Some fantasy football die hards are already drafting for the coming season, in some cases its rookies only and others are starting an early draft. In this NFL Draft Rookie round table we discuss the Rookie Busts of this years NFL Draft. 
FFHD brought you the Pre NFL Draft Roundtable a few weeks back and you can check those out here – Day 1, Day 2, Day 3. It went so well that we brought back most of the guys, added a few more voices to the party to focus on the 2012 Rookie Fantasy Bust.
Participants
- Pro Football Focus – Jeff Ratcliffe
- Dynasty Football Warehouse – Dan Heins and Jeff Melbostad
- Dynasty League Football – Eric Dickens and Tim Stafford
- Fantasy Knuckleheads – Greg Brosh
- NFL Draft Geek - Nolan Vasan
- Second City Fanatics – Matt Lane
- IDP Manor – Gary Davenport
- Roto Rankings – Scott Whitfield
- Average Joe – Josh Hreha
- Fantasy Football Help Desk - Mike Novick
Average Joe – Josh Hreha – Justin Blackmon
Justin Blackmon – Most overrated player in the draft, hands down. Lacks the size and speed to be an elite WR, and while taken at #5, you expect elite. Couple that in with shaky QB Play at best from Gabbert (who looks like he saw nightmares of the Browns Offense on every snap) and Blackmon will be average AT BEST. He has BUST written on him like David Terrell, JJ Stokes, Charles Rodgers, Mike Williams, etc…
Second City Fanatics – Matt Lane – Ryan Tannehill
He has very few weapons if any, he has limited college experience let alone Pro experience, he faces a tough schedule, and 
he will likely start early and be benched perhaps halfway through the season. I’d rather draft Matt Moore at this stage.
Roto Rankings – Scott Whitfield – Doug Martin
I know everyone is ready to hand Doug Martin aka the “next Ray Rice” the starting job over LeGarrette Blount in Tampa Bay, but I don’t quite see it that way; yet. The story is out on Blount, he can’t be that receiving threat on 3rd down and that’s supposedly the reason they selected Martin, to be the complete back. However, with the addition of Carl Nicks and the rest of that beastly O-line the Bucs are still going to run power. Taking Blount out of the game tips pass protection and I think with Vincent Jackson in the fold the ability to play action is crucial with Blount in the game. I’m not knocking Martin as a talent and thus a fantasy bust, but based on the word that he is going to come in and be the saving grace to the Bucs ground game; I just don’t see it – yet. With no real pass rush in the pre-season it will be hard to see what Martin brings in pass protection too.
Dynasty League F. – Eric Dickens – Ryan Tannehill
Andrew Luck. Totally kidding, just making sure you were still paying attention. My pick for most likely to bust would be 
Dolphins QB, Ryan Tannehill. I don’t like that he doesn’t have many weapons in the passing game and I’m not sold on him being a good fit for Philbin’s offense.
Dynasty F. Warehouse – Jeff Melbostad – Brandon Weeden
Assuming we’re talking about the 1st round of the NFL draft my pick would be Brandon Weeden. I like this kid’s skills and think he’s pretty NFL ready but he was drafted into a tough spot with the Browns. We saw Colt McCoy struggle in this same offense and I blame the surrounding cast more than I blame Colt. For that reason I don’t see Weeden having very much more success. Sure he’ll have Richardson to help shoulder the load but there is very little to speak of in terms of WR help and Weeden will have to perform immediately to prove he was worth the first round pick they used on him. I don’t like his chances.
Dynasty League Football – Tim Stafford – Kendall Wright
Rookie Draft First Round Bust: I want to pick someone who is clearly a consensus first rounder (and an NFL first rounder). And my selection is Kendall Wright. While I love his talent, I wonder if a slot receiver (which is how I believe the Titans will use him) can have a lot of fantasy value. There is only one Wes Welker after all. (Oh and one Tom Brady.) Do I think he’s a total NFL bust, no. Can a see scenarios where he is basically useless for fantasy, yes
FantasyKnuckleheads – Greg Brosh – Brandon Weeden
Easily Brandon Weeden and not because of his age or lack of talent. He goes into a pretty bad situation in Cleveland. They 
lack a legit passing weapon, with their best option, as of now, being tight end Ben Watson. That could change after 2012. But for now, Greg Little and Mohamed Massaquoi aren’t exactly going to light the league on fire or make it easy for Weeden if/when he beats Colt McCoy for the starting job.
Dynasty F. Warehouse – Dan Heins – Brian Quick
Very, VERY unpolished. Givens is the fastest of the two and the more likely deep threat and I am still not sold on Bradford.
Pro Football Focus – Jeff Ratcliffe – A.J. Jenkins
A.J. Jenkins – Not a fan of this pick by the 49ers. He’s a vertical threat with a QB who can’t throw the deep ball. This, plus reports that he showed up to rookie minicamp out of shape, has bust written all over it.
NFL Draft Geek – Nolan Vasan – Ryan Tannehill
Ryan Tannehill. I know people are expecting anything fantasy wise for him this year, but when your picked #8, you will be expected to put up numbers at some point. Tannehill will be forced into play right away, which I think will be awful for his long term development. He’s extremely raw and under-develop, and the Dolphins as a whole are terrible. I wouldn’t expect him to ever do anything.
IDP Manor – Gary Davenport – Drew Brees
It may just be my general squeamishness about taking a quarterback in the first round of fantasy drafts, but you likely won’t see Drew Brees on many of my fantasy teams this season. I know that taking an elite signal-caller early is all the rage right now, but counting on Brees to come anywhere close to last year’s record-breaking numbers given all the chaos in New Orleans (with both the team and his contract) Is folly with your first pick.
Fantasy Football Help Desk – Mike Novick – Kendall Wright
Woohoo he is fast……. Does not matter if you ask me. For one Jake Locker is his QB and who knows how that is going to work, no one there to mentor the young lad and Kenny Britt is having more surgery’s and we are not sure on his status for this season at this point. On top of all that he is barely 5″10 and carries around smurf hands. Not going to be on my radar at all this fantasy season.
SLEEPERS – QUARTERBACK – RUNNINGBACK – WIDE RECEIVER – TIGHT END – IDP
